Lease or Moat · Worked cases · PNDK Solutions Ltd

ASML: competitive advantage — moat or lease?

Owned closure Lease or Moat reading · YES · as of September 2026

Owned closure (YES).

Observed: sourced facts, as of September 2026

Protocol reading: interpretation, not a fact

Decisive object → controllerThe EUV lithography system → ASML.
ReasoningThe object is the accumulated technical system and supplier integration, not the scarce components it buys in.

What would overturn this reading

A rival reproduces the integrated EUV system, or a new technology removes EUV's decisive role.

What it shows

The scarcest input is not automatically the constraint. ASML buys critical inputs and still owns the object rivals would have to reproduce.

From the annex of the paper (Europe), which records the decisive object, the reading and the falsifier for each case.

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